Saturday, November 21, 2009

Patriots Report: Week 11

I predicted - Pats 28 Colts 24
Final score - Colts 35 Pats 34

There is so much to say about that game. Missed my own spread by five points, but it seems like a lot more. The loss means only that the Patriots went from having a slim chance to virtually no chance to win the number one seed in the playoffs. A win against the Colts would have necessitated the Pats picking up another game on the Colts, which I didn't see as likely. So now the Patriots' goal is to win the division by finishing 13-3, hopefully grabbing a number two seed and a resulting bye week in the playoffs. That's a scenario any fan would have gladly taken after week two's embarrassing loss to the Jets.

Accordingly, a lot of people are calling this the "revenge game." I don't think the Jets deserve that much respect. The Patriots will end the Jets postseason hopes with an easy win. The odds makers have the Pats by 10 points. No problem. In fact, triple that. The Pats by 30 points. The offense has hit its stride in the last few games. The week two loss to the Jets had Tom Brady unable to connect with Randy Moss. That doesn't look to be much of a problem anymore.

The Jets do still have a good running game and should score a couple of times. But I see New England scoring early and often. Is 28 points before the second half too optimistic? We will see. Although Brady's stats have been ridiculously amazing in the past three weeks, I think that they will mix it up a bit more and use the running game as well, especially after getting a comfortable lead.

My prediction:

Pats 44
Jets 14

1 comment:

  1. New England's weak second half performances are beginnning to be of concern. In spite of the fact that the Jets turned the ball over an amazing five times, NE only put 31 points on the board.

    In their loss to the Colts, NE looked pretty sharp, though they were apparently worn down by the no-huddle. Against the Jets, NE played down to the competition, and should have scored 44 points instead of the 31 they posted. NE will need to step up their efforts if they want to go anywhere in the playoffs.

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